With crucial military and financial support for Ukraine held up in the US and EU due to internal politics, and Kyiv’s counteroffensive having failed to make significant progress, will 2024 see Ukraine concede to Russia? Shortly before President Volodymyr Zelenskyy left Washington empty-handed, Vladimir Putin was feted in both the UAE and Saudi Arabia despite an international warrant for arrest on war crimes charges. The war in Gaza has drawn attention, weapons and ammunition from Ukraine’s war for survival.
Moscow has directed massive resources into its military industrial complex and looks set to turn that into more capability just as support from Ukraine’s Western backers is beginning to waver. Alexander Gabuev, director of the Carnegie Russia-Eurasia Center, joins Tim Sebastian to look at where the war is headed.
Chapters
00:00 Is Ukraine on the way to losing?
02:35 ‘Unwavering’ Western support?
04:25 Will EU open accession talks with Kyiv?
06:00 Trajectory of the conflict is in Russia’s favor
06:45 What is the best strategy for Ukraine?
07:50 Moscow bet Western support would weaken
10:00 What does victory in Ukraine look like?
12:30 Can Putin lose the war & stay in power?
13:30 Yevgeny Prighozin mutiny effect
15:45 If not deterred Putin will escalate
17:30 Future of NATO, Article V, Trump?
19:20 Xi Jinping and China’s relationship with Russia
20:00 Putin travel to Saudi Arabia and UAE despite ICC charges
20:45 India, Gaza, Iraq, Afghanistan & Russia’s war
23:00 Price of protest, Alexei Navalny
24:15 Putin’s support of Hamas & Global South
25:05 Up to West if 2024 is good for Putin
#putin #ukraine #gaza
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